First
past the Post: Thirteen Percent Gets You One Seat in Parliament
In the United Kingdom elections are
conducted under a “first-past-the-post” system. This means that whichever
candidate receives a plurality of the votes within a given district (called
constituencies) takes the seat. Since a majority of votes is not required, but
only a plurality, it is conceivable that if ten candidates were running for a
seat and the vote were split almost equally that one could win a seat while only
receiving less than 11% of the total vote within said district. This FPTP
system seems to destroy the democratic concept of “one person, one vote” as
many votes are simply “wasted" when they are discarded within a district,
rather than be tallied nationally. This result is highly undemocratic.
Of all the possible democratic electoral
systems currently in place around the world, the FPTP system seems to produce
the most undemocratic and disproportionate results. In the most recent UK
election, the UK Independence Party received some thirteen percent of the vote
nationally, but only attained one seat in parliament. The reason that such a
result is possible is because the UKIP votes were distributed geographically,
rather than concentrated within a few districts. The FPTP system rewards the
largest and best organized parties, as well as those that are regionally
concentrated. As a result, one would expect two main parties to dominate per
“Duverger’s Law”, but this is not the case in the UK. Duverger’s law predicts that
as a result of there being so many wasted votes in the FPTP system that voters
will react through the “psychological effect” and choose to cast their votes
for a party with a chance of winning. But in the UK, it seems that voters cast
their ballots based on whomever they wish for the most part, leading to more
parties than one would otherwise expect.
The disproportionate results that are
inherent to the FPTP system have led to widespread frustration among the
electorate, and a sense that the system is broken. This frustration was clearly
expressed by Douglas Carswell, UKIP’s sole minister elected to parliament with
his statement that “[a]cross the country about 5 million people will have
either voted for Ukip or for the Green Party. Those 5 million people will be
lucky to get a tiny handful of MPs in the House of Commons”, and further “[t]hat
failure to translate those 5 million votes into seats is less a reflection of
how my party or the Green Party campaigned, rather it tells us how dysfunctional
our political system is” (Warroll, 2015).
Under a system of Proportional Representation, BBC’s Channel 4 estimates
that UKIP would have received 83 seats in the parliament. Under the current
system, even though UKIP received some thirteen percent of the vote in the
latest election they only sent one minister to parliament (1/650th of the House
of Commons)! (Warroll, 2015).
The fact that the FPTP system has such
disproportionate results have inevitably led to calls for electoral reform. But
not everyone is dissatisfied with the current system. The Tories received a
majority of seats in the House of Commons even though they only received
thirty-seven percent of the vote, and this was considered to be a resounding
victory! While the minor parties such as the Greens, UKIP, etc… may be calling
for a system of proportional representation, the two main parties the Tories
and Labour seem quite comfortable with the current system that heavily favors
them at the expense of the minor parties. Regardless of one’s ideological bent,
the inevitable results of the FPTP system of voting fly in the face of most
principles of fairness and democracy. How can one justify such disproportionate
results, let alone espouse such an electoral system as being democratic and
worthy of emulation?
The United Kingdom seems primed to undergo
something of a political revolution. The meteoric rise of the Scottish National
Party and overall dissatisfaction with the current regime have resulted in
growing calls for electoral reform. The last time that such calls were made, it
resulted in a failed push for the “Alternative Vote”. Although a system of AV would address the
issue of wasted votes, it would do little to change the overall
disproportionality of the electoral system as a whole, because such a system
tends to favor the largest parties just like FPTP. The problem with reform lies within the fact
that there is little-to-no incentive for the largest parties that benefit
greatly from the current system to enact reforms that would lead to a loss in
seats.
The most-recent election in the UK clearly
illustrates the advantages of the FPTP system for larger parties. The Tories
for example, won some 51% of seats in parliament, while receiving some 37% of
the vote. Only in a FPTP system (as far as I know) can less than 40% of the
vote translate into a majority of seats in parliament. The Labour party’s results
were somewhat more in line with its share of votes, 36% of seats on 30% of the
vote. But when you compare the Liberal Democrats results with those of UKIP, or
SNP with those of UKIP, the difference are stark. The Liberal Democrats
received a paltry 8% of the vote nationally, but received eight seats, whereas
UKIP received about 13% of the nationwide vote and only received a single seat!
The disproportionate results that arise
from the FPTP system are sure to continue to cause frustration among those
parties whose representation in parliament is not commensurate with the amount
of votes they receive. As UKIP leader Nigel Farage said following the election
"[p]ersonally, I think the first-past-the-post system is bankrupt…It is
bankrupt because one party can get 50% of the vote in Scotland and nearly 100%
of the seats, and our party can get 4 million votes and just one seat"
(BBC, 2015). Such are the travails of
the FPTP system.
Works
Cited:
BBC.
Nigel Farage resigns as UKIP leader as
the party vote rises. May 8, 2015. http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-32633719
Warroll, Patrick. FactCheck: what would parliament look like
under Proportional Representation?. BBC Channel 4 News. May 8, 2015. http://blogs.channel4.com/factcheck/factcheck-parliament-proportional-representation/20893 .
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